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This is where I map out how I think about investing;

 — not advice, just frameworks, tools, and questions I keep returning to.

📚 Investing: The Basics

Step one: know what game you're playing

  • Introduction to Investing - What actually is investing? 

  • The Power of Compounding - Don't interrupt it

  • How Markets Work - Pricing, participants, expecations, and illusions

  • Interest Rates - The tide beneath every asset

  • The Psychology of Investing - Your own worst enemy

  • Books to Get Started - A launchpad for curious investors

🕰 Thinking Like an Investor

Principles to fall back on when markets get noisy

  • Thinking in Probabilities - Expected value, and process over prediction 

  • Margin of Safety - Your defence against being precisely wrong

  • Circle of Competence - You don't need to know everything, just know something

  • Time Arbitrage - Patience is your edge

  • Base Rates > Narratives - Bet on odds, not headlines

  • Capital Cycle Thinking - A contrarian map to industry timing

  • A Loser's Game - You win by avoiding losers

  • The Art of Contrary Thinking - Trust is rarely found in the crowd

  • Books for the Advanced Investor - Worthy of a second read, then a third

📊 Valuation Tools & Models

Estimating value, pricing risk, or judging capital efficiency

  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - The gold standard

  • Relative Valuation - Comparable company analysis

  • Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - For stable, cash-returning businesses

  • Reverse DCF - What's already priced in?

  • EV/EBITDA and Friends - Measure of core performance

🧠 UK Investing

Intricacies of the UK market

🎓 CFA & MSc Finance

Core concepts from formal education

  • The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) - Often wrong, still useful

  • Arbitrage Pricing Theory - When CAPM feels too blunt

  • NPV & IRR - Money now vs money later

🧠 Mental bookmarks I keep nearby:

📖 Essential Reads

The Education of a Value Investor
Personal growth and investment edge

The Most Important Thing
Risk means more things can happen than will happen

Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters

The blueprint for long-term outperformance

🎧 Podcasts

MacroVoices

- Interviews on macro, markets, and policy

We Study Billionaires

- Conversations with top investors and thinkers

Invest Like the Best

- Deep dives with founders and fund-managers

Intrinsic Value Podcast

- Valuation, markets, and investment thinking

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🎧 SuperInvestor Letters

Howard Marks - Oaktree Capital

Understanding risk when others chase return

Seth Klarman - Baupost

Margin of safety in an uncertain world

Nick Sleep - Nomad Partnership

Long-term thinking in a short-term world

Bill Ackman - Pershing Square

Conviction meets catalysis

Terry Smith - Fundsmith

Buy good companies. Don’t overpay. Do nothing

​​​​

👀 Open Interest

Ultra - An Asymmetric Bet on Web3

- Redefining the economics of gaming

INPP - Yield with a Margin of Safety

- Infrastructure. Income. Undervalued.

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© SJMcCormick, 2022 | What are you doing down here? 

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